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Yesterday โ€” 31 October 2024Main stream

Presidential candidates courting voters in the West

31 October 2024 at 17:45

Vice President Kamala Harris is visiting Arizona and Nevada on Thursday while former President Donald Trump will make stops in Nevada as well, along with New Mexico.

With its five electoral votes, New Mexico is not considered a battleground state. The state has gone for Democratic presidential candidates since 2004.

However, New Mexico has the highest percentage of Hispanic residents in the country, and the Trump campaign has claimed that it has made inroads with the voting bloc, which traditionally favors Democrats. New Mexico is also a border state, which allows Trump to focus on his strict immigration policies.

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Most political experts, however, do not believe Trump will be able to flip New Mexico. The most recent poll from the Albuquerque Journal shows Harris with a 9-point advantage in the state.

Thursday will likely be the last time Harris and Trump will travel to the West before Election Day as the focus on the bigger electoral prizes on the East Coast.

Depending on what happens in places like Georgia, North Carolina and Pennsylvania, a candidate could either secure the race or have to wait for votes to be counted in places like Arizona and Nevada.

Republicans are hopeful about their chances in both states because of the high turnout rate of early GOP voters. However, political insiders have expressed caution about reading too much into the numbers because it's not clear whether the early voters are new voters or the same people who would have voted on Election Day.

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Meanwhile, Harris will attempt to remind voters, especially Latinos, about racially charged rhetoric coming from Trump and his supporters.

Her rallies in Arizona and Nevada will feature influential Hispanic and Latino figures, including Jennifer Lopez and the musical group Los Tigres del Norte.

Before yesterdayMain stream

Scripps News/Ipsos poll: Americans are bracing for violence but prepared to accept election results

24 October 2024 at 10:00

Most Americans expect violence following Election Day but remain confident their vote will be counted accurately and are willing to accept the results of the presidential race, a new Scripps News/Ipsos poll found.

The survey of 1,000 Americans finds bipartisan concerns over unrest after Nov. 5. Overall, 62% of respondents including 70% of Democrats and 59% of Republicans say violence related to the election is somewhat or very likely.

And among respondents in the key battleground state of Wisconsin, which was also measured as part of the survey, concerns over violence are higher, at 72%.

And many, 51%, say they would support using the U.S. military to prevent potential threats around Election Day.

But a large majority, 77%, also says they are willing to accept the election results if their preferred candidate loses.

Overall, the survey results paint the picture of a country that remains mostly confident in its elections, but on edge about the potential fallout in the first presidential election since the Jan. 6 riots at the Capitol.

Mood Of The Country

Large swaths of both Republicans, 61%, and Democrats, 51%, said they would support using the military specifically to prevent Election Day unrest.

Though the use of the U.S. military has become a topic on the campaign trail, the conversation has focused on former President Donald Trumps suggestion that the military could be used to deal with the enemy from within, a group hes said includes political rivals.

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Most Americans, 56%, described the state of U.S. democracy as weak, including 70% of Republicans and more than four in 10 Democrats.

And many, 51%, say they would support using the U.S. military to prevent violence around Election Day.

Anxious was the most dominant answer, at 37%, in a list of words to describe how respondents are feeling heading into Nov. 5. It was followed by hopeful at 32% and ready at 21%.

Faith In Voting

Though most Americans and Wisconsin voters have faith their votes are secure, there are major partisan divides in how both parties feel about different methods of voting.

An overwhelming majority have faith in in-person voting before and on Election Day. But confidence among Republican and independent voters drops significantly when it comes to other methods.

Just one in three Republicans and 49% of independents feel ballot drop boxes are secure. Slightly more Republicans, at 38%, and independents, at 51%, say mail-in voting is secure.

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Accepting Election Results

And even if their preferred candidate doesnt come out on top next month, three-fourths of Americans say they are ready to accept the election results. A slightly higher percentage of Democrats, 85%, than Republicans, 77%, say they are likely to accept the results.

Eighteen percent of Republicans and 8% of Democrats said would not commit to accepting the results.

After four years of former President Donald Trump denying he lost the 2020 election, Republicans are much more likely to blame widespread voter fraud if their candidate fails. About four in ten Republicans said widespread voter fraud would be the reason their candidate loses, as opposed to 8% of Democrats saying the same.

A large percentage of both parties agreed their candidate should challenge the results legally and accept court rulings.

A small percentage of voters, 8%, said they would support their candidate winning by any means necessary, even if violence is involved.

This Scripps News/Ipsos poll was conducted by Ipsos from October 18 to October 20, 2024, using the probability-based KnowledgePanel. This poll is based on a nationally representative probability sample of 1,028 adults age 18 or older. The sample includes 328 respondents that are currently residents of Wisconsin.
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